He owes it all to clean living and fancy footwork

The San Jose Mercury News reported yesterday that it appears unlikely that Steve Jobs will be charged by the SEC in the options backdating scandal.

If the Macalope may riff on David Maynor (without the bad grammar), brace yourself for the flood of anti-Apple posts about why Steve Jobs is getting a free pass.

Long-time readers know the Macalope’s position on this, but there’s a substantial difference in suspecting or guessing that Steve Jobs is getting away with something and knowing that he is.

The Merc notes today that the fickle finger of fate now points to Nancy Heinen and Fred Anderson. So far this game is playing out pretty much according to Apple’s playbook.

But that’s because Apple’s an unstoppable killer marketing machine!

Whew. Aren’t you glad George Ou doesn’t cover the Apple options scandal?

UPDATE: Apple Insider sez the Wall Street Journal reports that Anderson has settled with the SEC. This is more evidence they’re unlikely to go after Jobs. Actually, it’s probably the evidence the Merc’s story was based on.

Journalists rule the world!

The Economist authors one of the stupidest pieces the Macalope has read on the options scandal (and that’s saying a lot!).

The piece pimps Larry Ribstein’s Apple Rule which states that:

The Apple Rule provides for an exception from corporate criminal liability when a popular business executive is accused of, or presides over a company that is accused of, misconduct. “Popular” is defined as “liked by journalists.”

This rule is actually just a means to an end for Ribstein, and that end is ending the criminalization of impromper backdating.

So are we going to lock up America’s most popular entrepreneurs, make untenable distinctions in who gets prosecuted, or finally understand that the criminal justice system is a wildly inappropriate way to deal with agency costs like those involved in backdating?

See, lying to your investors is just an “agency cost”!

Uh, no. The problem investors have is not with the amounts that were awarded, it’s with the fact that they weren’t disclosed.

Look, the Macalope may think that some executives are overpaid in this country, but it’s pretty much just at companies that are in the toilet, so he’s not some anti-compensation nut. He just believes that executive compensation should be properly documented and disclosed and that’s the crime we’re talking about.

Here Ribstein uncritically regurgitates the defense’s position in the Brocade case that the rule they violated was “obscure” and everything they did was “in good faith.” It’s true that in this case the defendants did not personally benefit from the improperly backdated options, but they approved scores of them and failed to report them adequately (although the defense is attempting an interesting maneuver in regard to that).

But they didn’t benefit! Well, if they’re propping up the company’s reputation by buying talent with an expensive mortgage, they could have benefitted. Also, while it’s an overblown analogy, if someone robs a bank and gives the money away, they still robbed a bank.

Getting back to the Economist, riffing Ribstein it claims that Steve Jobs has not been charged with a crime because he’s popular among journalists.

Is the basis of that premise — that he’s popular among journalists — even true? Which journalists? Surely not John Dvorak.

And even if it is, who believes U.S. attorneys really take their marching orders from journalists? Why, egotistical journalists!

Quod erat demonstrandum!

The Macalope has long subscribed the belief that the further up the journalism ladder one climbs, the more likely one is to act like one of the eponymous characters from the movie Heathers: spoiled high school girls who believe the whole world revolves around them.

Point of fact, the reason there have no charges filed against Steve Jobs is not because of his popularity. It’s probably because no one’s uncovered any evidence that he did something wrong (and please take note that this comes from a blogger who has already been on the record as suspecting that Jobs probably did do something wrong). Or it’s because Apple only finished its own investigation last quarter. Or — hey, here’s a thought — because the Bush administration recently fired Kevin Ryan, the U.S. attorney in charge of the investigation. Maybe, just maybe, the SEC and U.S. attorneys have their own set of motivations, which could include but is not limited to self promotion, timing and a wacky little thing we like to call “justice”.

Nah! It’s gotta be because some journalists likey the Steve!

The hubris on display here is truly astounding.

Still, that leaves open the question of if, and how, a business executive can get to be so popular with the media that investigators steer clear.

Wow. The editors at the Economist sure thinks a lot of their profession. In order to avoid prosecution, a CEO needs to be popular with — not shareholders, not the public, not the government — journalists.

After pumping up the importance of its own profession, the Economist concludes:

Our rule: if a criminal prosecution is likely to hurt a company’s share price, then don’t prosecute.

That’s an absurd blanket statement. God knows the Macalope’s not arguing that Steve Jobs should be sent up the river sans paddle if he were ever to be charged and convicted of attempting to increase his largesse at the expense of Apple shareholders, but Ribstein and the Economist are arguing he shouldn’t be punished at all.

There is a middle ground here and we’ve already discussed it, but the words of Alan Murray apparently bear repeating.

If Mr. Jobs participated in backdating options, he should be punished. To let him off the hook would send a terrible signal that some people are exempt from the rules or above the law.

But any punishment that hampers his ability to continue running the company would be a mistake. That is punishing the victim, and only compounds the crime.

In other words, fine him, leave him as CEO and move on.

Is the government being overzealous in its pursuit of these cases? The Macalope supposes it’s possible. But turning a blind eye to executive malfeasance isn’t exactly a solution.

The Macalope holds an inconsequential number of Apple shares.

Grand Theft Options

(Sure, sure, you could see that one coming up De Anza Blvd.)

Ryan Brant, the founder and former CEO and Chairman of Take-Two, makers of Grand Theft Auto, pleads guilty to illegally covering up the backdating of options.

For those of us on Jobs options watch, there are some disturbing results here. Not only was Brant fined, but he was barred from every holding a top office at a publicly traded company again.

However, the charges were considerably different than what Jobs was involved in.

The SEC and New York prosecutors accused Brant of awarding himself 10 backdated option grants from 1997 to 2003 for a total of about 2.1 million shares of Take-Two stock, all of which he exercised before resigning from the company in October.

Looks like Brant will avoid jail, sparing himself the uncomfortable irony of having to do time with actual car-jackers.

iPod sales down

Nah, the Macalope’s just kidding! Ha-ha!

They’re up. Of course they’re up! They’re up 50 percent to a whopping (all references to first quarter iPod sales figures must include the word “whopping”) 21 million.

iPod sales growth year over year was down, however, from 60 percent.

But when the last people on the planet who still don’t have an iPod are either Amish or Jim Alchin, it starts getting a little difficult.

Revenue is up. Profit is up. Margins are up. Mac sales are up. Fries are up. It’s all good.

Hear, hear.

Alan Murray in the Wall Street Journal (paid subscriber link) has some harsh words for Steve Jobs (“arrogant”, “draconian”) and is rightly dubious of Apple’s protestations of his ignorance in the stock options scandal (the Macalope has held off on using that word, but we can rightly call it a scandal now).

But his conclusion is spot on:

If Mr. Jobs participated in backdating options, he should be punished. To let him off the hook would send a terrible signal that some people are exempt from the rules or above the law.

But any punishment that hampers his ability to continue running the company would be a mistake. That is punishing the victim, and only compounds the crime.

Sing it, sister.

If you read the analysis that’s floating around, it’s generally the mass-market publications that are breathlessly asking “WILL JOBS SURVIVE?!” From what the Macalope’s seen, the Wall Street analysts — the guys who actually have some skin in the game — are long on Jobs.

From Murray’s lips to the SEC’s ears.

The Macalope owns an inconsequential number of Apple shares.

Cha-ching

Bertrand Serlet sold what the Macalope calculates on the back of a napkin to be about $5.5 million in shares and options on Dec. 29th.

Not sure what the implications might be but he was clearly picking the last day of 2006 for tax purposes.

Or, possibly, to impress chicks on New Year’s Eve.

“Pardon, cherie, but ‘ave yoo ever seen a $10,000 bill?”

All options, all the time

BusinessWeek’s Peter Burrows talked with options expert Erik Lie. Lie doesn’t think Jobs is necessarily out of the woods, but the Macalope found the last graph most interesting.

I then asked if he thought Jobs was getting an easier time than the dozens of other executives that have lost their jobs over the backdating scandal, simply becuase of Jobs’ celebrity and iconic reputation with investors and consumers. He said no. Rather, he pointed out his belief that there are many executives that have flouted options accounting rules that have not yet even been identified. “I believe there are potentially thousands of executives who have gotten completely off the hook. Because he’s steven jobs, he’s more in the spotlight….The media has been struggling to put a face on this scandal. If anything, he’s been treated unfairly relative to other people who have been completely unscathed.”

The Macalope has been harder on Jobs and Apple over the backdating of options than many other members of the Apple community, but he thinks Lie is absolutely correct here.

And you can scroll down for his “Martha Stewart” comment below as evidence that this isn’t a case of the tail wagging the Macalope.

Stand by your man

Apple Says Options Probe Exonerates Executives

Apple Computer today exonerated its chief executive, Steven P. Jobs, of any wrongdoing in a stock options backdating probe.

Sometimes it’s hard to be a woman
Giving all your love to just one man
You’ll have bad times

As a result of the internal investigation, Apple said it would record $84 million in expenses related to the options awards.

And he’ll have good times

The news helped push shares of Apple up more than 5 percent this morning to just over $85.

Doin things that you don’t understand
But if you love him
You’ll forgive him

“The board of directors is confident that the company has corrected the problems that led to the restatement, and it has complete confidence in Steve Jobs and the senior management team,” the statement said.

Even though he’s hard to understand
And if you love him
Oh, be proud of him
Cause after all he’s just a man

But Mr. McGurn noted that Apple faced unique challenges.

“Apple is in a much more difficult position than other companies in the backdating morass, because a significant portion of its market valuation is based on Steve Jobs staying at his job,” he said.

Stand by your man
Give him two arms to cling to
And something warm to come to
when nights are cold and lonely

The language of Apple’s statement, coupled with the simultaneous resignation from the board of Fred D. Anderson, the company’s former chief financial officer, led analysts to believe that Apple and Mr. Jobs were attempting to distance themselves from any blame in the case.

Stand by your man
And show the world you love him
Keep giving all the love you can
Stand by your man

“Everything we know about Apple is that the compensation side is not something Jobs has ever been involved in,” Mr. Munster said. “The key thing, and the only thing Wall Street cares about, is whether Jobs will be impacted, and we don’t believe he will be.”

Stand by your man
And show the world you love him
Keep giving all the love you can
Stand by your man

Chump change?

Overnight the Financial Times reported that the forged stock option documents related to Steve Jobs’ grant of 7.5 million options in 2001.

The question now is, is it likely that Jobs knew that documents were being falsified for his granting of the 7.5 million options?

To the Macalope it seems highly unlikely that Jobs was not intimate with the details of his compensation, but most executives focus on “what am I going to get”, not the steps that might have been jumped over to get them there. Jobs, in particular, seems to be an individual who is comfortable as long as he knows he’s being handsomely rewarded for his Herculean efforts and only expects to make money if the company does well.

The company has stated that Jobs was not aware of the “accounting implications” involved. Is claiming something was approved at a board meeting when it was not an “accounting implication”? Possibly.

The Wall Street Journal’s Law Blog (paid subscription) asks today whether readers think Apple’s close-to-the-vest-approach or United Healthcare’s open approach is better. From an investor’s standpoint, clearly United Healthcare’s approach is better, but there are several hundred degrees of difference in magnitude between the two.

The United Healthcare executives were receiving salaries and colluding to cover up the backdating of hundreds of millions of dollars in stock options. Even if Jobs is implicated in the forging of the documents related to his relatively paltry 7.5 million options — options he was ultimately given a market value for but never actually exercised and no longer owns — it’s questionable if it’s material enough to cause him to have to step down.

Still, criminal proceedings in high-profile securities cases often turn on more than intent and the relative level of benefit (see: Stewart, Martha). Apple could become the poster child for stock option backdating prosecution and, call the Macalope cynical, but with an SEC chairman appointed by the Republican rival of a Democrat on the board of the company, it’s got to be a tempting target.

Yikes

Holiday’s over. Here’s your rude awakening.

Apple reportedly falsified options documents.

Original Law.com piece by Justin Scheck with the allegations here.

It looks like the meat of the information relates to possible wrongdoing by former execs Nancy Heinen and Fred Anderson. While there are number of “if the SEC is going to go after Steve Jobs” type statements, there’s absolutely no information that implicates Jobs in the falsification of these documents.

While it will likely take some time — perhaps a matter of months — for the government to decide whether to file criminal charges against Jobs, the 10(k) filing on Friday should provide plaintiffs lawyers with some ammunition for their suits against the company.

Hey, if he’s done nothing wrong, it could take them years to decide as they would have to wait for him to do something wrong.

That is a rather irresponsible paragraph, unless Scheck knows something more that implicates Jobs. The only evidence provided is that he has retained his own legal counsel, which raises a few of the hairs on the Macalope’s velvety flanks, but is hardly damning given the fact that Jobs is personally named in the class action suit against the company.

We’ll know more on Friday.

UPDATE: Gene Munster of Piper Jaffray sez there’s less than a five percent chance Steve Jobs is at risk.

The Macalope likes those odds but how do you calculate that?

The Macalope holds an inconsequential number of Apple shares.